Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 47%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 26.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 47% ( | 26.64% ( | 26.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.95% ( | 56.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% ( | 77.14% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( | 23.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.96% ( | 58.05% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.29% ( | 36.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.5% ( | 73.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% ( 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 2-0 @ 9% ( 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 4-0 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 46.99% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 26.37% |