Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Airdrieonians |
49.63% ( -0.4) | 24.63% ( 0.09) | 25.73% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 53.67% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.38% ( -0.12) | 48.62% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.26% ( -0.11) | 70.74% ( 0.11) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.38% ( -0.21) | 19.62% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.43% ( -0.34) | 51.57% ( 0.34) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.77% ( 0.2) | 33.23% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.16% ( 0.21) | 69.84% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 49.62% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |