Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 56.44%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 21.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
56.44% ( 0.41) | 21.69% ( -0.16) | 21.87% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 58.99% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.55% ( 0.43) | 39.45% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.21% ( 0.45) | 61.79% ( -0.45) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.15% ( 0.28) | 13.85% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.76% ( 0.54) | 41.24% ( -0.53) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.48% ( 0.02) | 31.52% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.09% ( 0.02) | 67.91% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.38% Total : 56.44% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 21.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |