Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Airdrieonians
Scottish League One | Gameweek 16
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
New Broomfield
Kelty Hearts

Airdrieonians
1 - 0
Kelty Hearts

Gallagher (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Airdrieonians and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-1 Peterhead
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-3 Montrose
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 56.44%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 21.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawKelty Hearts
56.44% (0.40600000000001 0.41)21.69% (-0.157 -0.16)21.87% (-0.245 -0.25)
Both teams to score 58.99% (0.207 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.55% (0.432 0.43)39.45% (-0.428 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.21% (0.448 0.45)61.79% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.15% (0.276 0.28)13.85% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.76% (0.536 0.54)41.24% (-0.532 -0.53)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48% (0.024000000000001 0.02)31.52% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09% (0.024999999999999 0.02)67.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 56.44%
    Kelty Hearts 21.87%
    Draw 21.69%
AirdrieoniansDrawKelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.49% (0.065 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.62% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.21% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.037 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.037 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 56.44%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.37% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.69%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.04% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.91% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 21.87%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Kelty Hearts
1-0
Airdrieonians
Agyeman (85')
Hill (37')