Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Airdrieonians
Scottish League One | Gameweek 23
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
New Broomfield
Alloa Athletic

Airdrieonians
4 - 0
Alloa

Fordyce (2'), Gallagher (18', 63'), Telfer (41')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Airdrieonians and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 1-2 Falkirk
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawAlloa Athletic
54.07% (0.10899999999999 0.11)22.54% (0.122 0.12)23.39% (-0.231 -0.23)
Both teams to score 58.08% (-0.714 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.4% (-0.812 -0.81)41.59% (0.811 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36% (-0.826 -0.83)63.99% (0.825 0.83)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.64% (-0.248 -0.25)15.36% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.87% (-0.465 -0.47)44.13% (0.465 0.47)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (-0.64 -0.64)31.38% (0.64 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24% (-0.748 -0.75)67.75% (0.747 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 54.07%
    Alloa Athletic 23.39%
    Draw 22.53%
AirdrieoniansDrawAlloa Athletic
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.03% (0.251 0.25)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.12% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.28% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 54.07%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.174 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.59% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.24% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 23.39%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Alloa
2-0
Airdrieonians
Donnelly (54'), Maciver (87')

McCabe (43')
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Alloa
1-0
Airdrieonians
Sammon (81')
King (40')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Airdrieonians
2-0
Alloa
McGill (39'), Gallagher (83')

Durnan (72'), O'Donnel (77')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Alloa
0-2
Airdrieonians
Smith (21', 84')
Easton (90')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Airdrieonians
3-1
Alloa
Smith (2'), Gallagher (7'), McInroy (61')
Fordyce (64'), Agnew (71'), Easton (90+1')
Henderson (64')
Gilmour (68')
rhs 2.0


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