Scottish Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Indodrill Stadium

Alloa
1 - 2
Falkirk

Donnelly (21')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McKay (45'), Burrell (77')

Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Alloa Athletic and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Alloa 2-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Falkirk

All competitions

Last Game: Falkirk 4-0 Clyde
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Falkirk
41.48% ( 0.06)	24.31% ( 0)	34.21% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 59.82% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.19% (

-0.04)

42.8% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.79% (

-0.04)

65.21% (

0.04)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.22% (

0.01)

20.77% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.58% (

0.01)

53.41% (

-0.02)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.5% (

-0.06)

24.49% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.04% (

-0.09)

58.95% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 41.48%

Falkirk 34.21%

Draw 24.3%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Falkirk
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.79% Total : 41.48%	1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.3%	1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.21%