Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One | Gameweek 22
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Recreation Park
Edinburgh City

Alloa
2 - 1
Edinburgh

Sammon (17', 27')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Robertson (53')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Edinburgh City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: QotS 1-2 Alloa
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Edinburgh City

All competitions
Last Game: Edinburgh 0-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Alloa Athletic in this match.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawEdinburgh City
46.08% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)24.26% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)29.66% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 57.99% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.66% (0.069000000000003 0.07)44.34% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.29% (0.066000000000003 0.07)66.71% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.62% (0.00099999999999056 0)19.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.81% (0.0019999999999953 0)51.19% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (0.082999999999998 0.08)28.07% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27% (0.102 0.1)63.73% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 46.08%
    Edinburgh City 29.66%
    Draw 24.25%
Alloa AthleticDrawEdinburgh City
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.32% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 46.08%
1-1 @ 11.34%
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 29.66%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Edinburgh
4-3
Alloa
Shanley (36', 48', 78'), Handling (59')
Crane (50')
Graham (3', 17'), Donnelly (7')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Alloa
2-4
Edinburgh
Sammon (8'), Maciver (85')
Durnan (53'), O'Donnel (62'), Maciver (90')
Robertson (21', 33'), Murray (54'), Handling (87')
Crane (25'), Johnson (79'), Delferriere (82')
Crane (90+1')
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
Alloa
2-1
Edinburgh
Scougall (18'), Thomson (85')
Henderson (81')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Quarter-Finals
Edinburgh
2-2
Alloa
 Edinburgh win 4-3 on penalties
Henderson (45'), Shepherd (57')
Black (21'), Laird (79')
Zanatta (2'), Trouten (12')
Spence (44'), Dick (56'), Hetherington (93')
rhs 2.0


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