Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Recreation Park
Falkirk

Darvel
1 - 5
Falkirk

Morrison (64' og.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Oliver (22'), Morrison (24'), Henderson (78'), Nesbitt (81'), McGuffie (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Cup clash between Darvel and Falkirk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Darvel

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Darvel 1-0 Aberdeen
Monday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Alloa 1-1 Falkirk
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Darvel had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Darvel win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
DarvelDrawFalkirk
34.48% (1.802 1.8)23.12% (0.138 0.14)42.39% (-1.942 -1.94)
Both teams to score 64.31% (0.133 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.02% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)36.98% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.84% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)59.16% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Darvel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37% (0.935 0.94)21.63% (-0.937 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (1.411 1.41)54.74% (-1.412 -1.41)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (-0.81999999999999 -0.82)17.94% (0.818 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.23% (-1.425 -1.43)48.77% (1.423 1.42)
Score Analysis
    Darvel 34.48%
    Falkirk 42.39%
    Draw 23.12%
DarvelDrawFalkirk
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.258 0.26)
1-0 @ 5.94% (0.189 0.19)
2-0 @ 4.55% (0.266 0.27)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.238 0.24)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.117 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.197 0.2)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.131 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 10.2% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.71% (0.045 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.289 -0.29)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.247 -0.25)
2-3 @ 3.84% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-4 @ 2.16% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-4 @ 1.65% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 42.39%

How you voted: Darvel vs Falkirk

Darvel
31.3%
Draw
9.4%
Falkirk
59.4%
64
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!