Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Darvel had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Darvel win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.