Scottish Cup
Feb 13, 2023 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 0 2
FT Recreation Park
  • PJ Morrison 64' goal
  • goal Gary Oliver 22'
  • goal Callumn Morrison 24'
  • goal Liam Henderson 78'
  • goal Aidan Nesbitt 81'
  • goal Craig McGuffie 88'

Darvel vs Falkirk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Darvel

All competitions

Falkirk

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Darvel had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Darvel win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result

Darvel 34.48% (+1.81)
Draw 23.12% (+0.14)
Falkirk 42.39% (-1.95)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.31% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.02% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 36.98% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 40.84% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 59.16% (+0.10)

Darvel Goals

Over 0.5 78.37% (+0.94)
Under 0.5 21.63% (-0.94)
Over 1.5 45.25% (+1.42)
Under 1.5 54.74% (-1.42)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5 82.05% (-0.82)
Under 0.5 17.94% (+0.82)
Over 1.5 51.23% (-1.43)
Under 1.5 48.77% (+1.43)

Score analysis

Darvel 34.48%
Draw 23.12%
Falkirk 42.39%
Darvel
2-1 @ 7.82% (+0.26)
1-0 @ 5.94% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 4.55% (+0.27)
3-1 @ 3.99% (+0.24)
3-2 @ 3.43% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 2.32% (+0.20)
4-1 @ 1.53% (+0.14)
4-2 @ 1.31% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 34.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.71% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.88% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.96% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.12%
Falkirk
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.19)
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.29)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.25)
2-3 @ 3.84% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.27)
1-4 @ 2.16% (-0.17)
2-4 @ 1.65% (-0.08)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.16)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 42.39%