Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One | Gameweek 24
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Central Park
Falkirk

Kelty Hearts
1 - 2
Falkirk

FT(HT: 1-0)
Allan (79'), Burrell (90')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montrose 3-3 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Edinburgh 1-2 Falkirk
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
Kelty HeartsDrawFalkirk
27.64% (-0.638 -0.64)25.72% (-0.213 -0.21)46.63% (0.849 0.85)
Both teams to score 51.86% (0.218 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (0.495 0.5)51.74% (-0.495 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (0.428 0.43)73.51% (-0.428 -0.43)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (-0.232 -0.23)33.36% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (-0.256 -0.26)69.98% (0.256 0.26)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82% (0.59700000000001 0.6)22.18% (-0.597 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.42% (0.893 0.89)55.58% (-0.893 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Kelty Hearts 27.65%
    Falkirk 46.63%
    Draw 25.72%
Kelty HeartsDrawFalkirk
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-0 @ 4.46% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 27.65%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 11.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.21% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.39% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.63% (0.126 0.13)
0-3 @ 4.21% (0.14 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.077 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.08 0.08)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 46.63%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Falkirk
2-3
Kelty Hearts
Alegria (56'), Burrell (71')
Agyeman (6', 8'), Lyon (66')
Higginbotham (61')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Kelty Hearts
2-0
Falkirk
Cardle (19'), McGill (26')
Barjonas (35'), Cardle (51'), Martin (90+1')

Donaldson (42')