Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Clyde had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Clyde win was 1-0 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Clyde | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
27.09% ( 0.66) | 24.21% ( 0.39) | 48.69% ( -1.04) |
Both teams to score 56.26% ( -0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.23% ( -1.2) | 45.77% ( 1.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.91% ( -1.15) | 68.08% ( 1.16) |
Clyde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% ( -0.13) | 30.65% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.11% ( -0.16) | 66.89% ( 0.16) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.12% ( -0.88) | 18.88% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.65% ( -1.48) | 50.35% ( 1.48) |
Score Analysis |
Clyde | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.99% Total : 27.09% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 27 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Arbroath | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Montrose | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 15 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |