Scottish League One | Gameweek 18

Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Palmerston Park

QotS
1 - 2
Kelty Hearts

Paton (7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Austin (80'), Higginbotham (84' pen.)

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Queen of the South and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen of the South

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Alloa 2-4 QotS
Friday, December 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-1 Linfield (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Queen of the South	Draw	Kelty Hearts
55.41% ( 0.74)	22.59% ( -0.25)	22% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 56.04% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.56% (

0.51)

43.43% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.17% (

0.5)

65.83% (

-0.5)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.45% (

0.43)

15.55% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.51% (

0.8)

44.49% (

-0.8)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.35% (

-0.18)

33.64% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.7% (

-0.19)

70.29% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Queen of the South 55.41%

Kelty Hearts 22%

Draw 22.58%

Queen of the South	Draw	Kelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.61% Total : 55.41%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.58%	1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 22%