Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.