Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-0 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
26.39% ( 0.28) | 27.97% ( 0.1) | 45.64% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 44.59% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.32% ( -0.18) | 60.68% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.24% ( -0.14) | 80.75% ( 0.13) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.74% ( 0.15) | 39.26% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.03% ( 0.14) | 75.96% ( -0.14) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.4% ( -0.28) | 26.59% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.18% ( -0.37) | 61.81% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 26.39% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 13.82% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 45.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |