Scottish League One | Gameweek 19

Dec 24, 2022 at 1pm UK

Central Park

Kelty Hearts
1 - 2
Dunfermline

Agyeman (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Martin (67' og.), McCann (86')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: QotS 1-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Arbroath 1-5 Dunfermline
Friday, December 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-0 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Kelty Hearts	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
26.39% ( 0.28)	27.97% ( 0.1)	45.64% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 44.59% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.32% (

-0.18)

60.68% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.24% (

-0.14)

80.75% (

0.13)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.74% (

0.15)

39.26% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.03% (

0.14)

75.96% (

-0.14)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.4% (

-0.28)

26.59% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.18% (

-0.37)

61.81% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Kelty Hearts 26.39%

Dunfermline Athletic 45.63%

Draw 27.95%

Kelty Hearts	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 26.39%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.95%	0-1 @ 13.82% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 45.63%