Scottish League One Gameweek 19
Dec 24, 2022 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alfie Agyeman 60' goal
  • goal Lewis Martin 67' (OG)
  • goal Lewis McCann 86'

Kelty Hearts vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
QotS 1 - 2 Kelty Hearts
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Alfie Agyeman

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Dec 3, 2022 3.00pm
Dunfermline 1 - 1 QotS
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Craig Wighton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-0 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result

Kelty Hearts 26.39% (+0.29)
Draw 27.97% (+0.11)
Dunfermline Athletic 45.64% (-0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.59% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.32% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 60.68% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 19.24% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 80.75% (+0.14)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 60.74% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 39.26% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 24.03% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 75.96% (-0.14)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 73.4% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 26.59% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 38.18% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 61.81% (+0.37)

Score analysis

Kelty Hearts 26.39%
Draw 27.95%
Dunfermline Athletic 45.63%
Kelty Hearts
1-0 @ 9.76% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 6.04% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.56% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 1.88% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.42% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 26.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.92% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 10.43% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.95%
Dunfermline Athletic
0-1 @ 13.82% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.16% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 4.04% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 45.63%

Head to Head

Scottish League One Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Nikolay Todorov 22' goal
  • Craig Wighton 55' goal
  • goal Darren Lyon 30'
Scottish League One Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordon Forster 39' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Todd 42'