Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Celtic Reserves had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Celtic Reserves win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.