Scottish Challenge Cup
Nov 15, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT East End Park
  • Taylor Sutherland 3' goal
  • Nikolay Todorov 25' goal
  • goal Johnny Kenny 36'

Dunfermline Athletic vs Celtic Reserves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Celtic Reserves

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Celtic Reserves had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Celtic Reserves win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.

Result

Dunfermline Athletic 44.53% (-0.49)
Draw 24.23% (-0.30)
Celtic Reserves 31.23% (+0.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.95% (+1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.54% (+1.70)
Under 2.5 43.46% (-1.71)
Over 3.5 34.14% (+1.65)
Under 3.5 65.85% (-1.66)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 80.31% (+0.49)
Under 0.5 19.68% (-0.49)
Over 1.5 48.32% (+0.78)
Under 1.5 51.68% (-0.79)

Celtic Reserves Goals

Over 0.5 73.39% (+1.35)
Under 0.5 26.6% (-1.36)
Over 1.5 38.17% (+1.76)
Under 1.5 61.83% (-1.76)

Score analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 44.53%
Draw 24.23%
Celtic Reserves 31.23%
Dunfermline Athletic
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.52)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.31)
3-1 @ 4.96% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.29% (+0.16)
4-1 @ 2.02% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.34% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 44.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.24)
2-2 @ 6.06% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.41)
3-3 @ 1.45% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.23%
Celtic Reserves
1-2 @ 7.46% (+0.13)
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.26)
0-2 @ 4.59% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.29% (+0.18)
2-3 @ 2.68% (+0.19)
0-3 @ 2.03% (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-98.21)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 31.23%