Albion Rovers
Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Reigart Stadium

Albion Rovers
2 - 3
Celtic Res.

Fagan (2'), Corr (28' og.)
Malcolm (31'), Reilly (68')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Vata (32'), Bosun Lawal (39'), Moffat (50')
Summers (67'), Otoo (88')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Albion Rovers and Celtic Reserves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albion Rovers

Last Six:
Last Game: Albion Rovers 1-2 Dumbarton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Celtic Reserves

Last Six:
    Last Game: Celtic Res. 1-3 Morton
    Saturday, September 4 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic Reserves win with a probability of 59.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 19.65%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Celtic Reserves win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 0-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for an Albion Rovers win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic Reserves would win this match.

    Result
    Albion RoversDrawCeltic Reserves
    19.65% (0.048000000000002 0.05)20.84% (0.030999999999999 0.03)59.5% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
    Both teams to score 58.4% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    61.4% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)38.6% (0.07 0.07)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    39.1% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)60.9% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
    Albion Rovers Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    66.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)33.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    30.27% (0.012 0.01)69.73% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
    Celtic Reserves Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    87.33% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)12.67% (0.045 0.04)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    61.16% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)38.84% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
    Score Analysis
        Albion Rovers 19.65%
        Celtic Reserves 59.5%
        Draw 20.84%
    Albion RoversDrawCeltic Reserves
    2-1 @ 5.29% (0.011 0.01)
    1-0 @ 4.64% (0.016 0.02)
    2-0 @ 2.56% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
    3-2 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    3-1 @ 1.95% (0.004 0)
    3-0 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
    Other @ 2.26%
    Total : 19.65%
    		1-1 @ 9.58% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
    2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    0-0 @ 4.2% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
    3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
    Other @ 0.22%
    Total : 20.84%
    		1-2 @ 9.9% (0.0010000000000012 0)
    0-2 @ 8.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
    0-1 @ 8.67% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
    1-3 @ 6.82% (-0.011 -0.01)
    0-3 @ 6.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
    2-3 @ 3.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    1-4 @ 3.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
    0-4 @ 3.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
    2-4 @ 1.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
    1-5 @ 1.46% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
    0-5 @ 1.32% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
    Other @ 3.8%
    Total : 59.5%