Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Excelsior Stadium

Celtic Res.
3 - 0
Livingston U21s

Brooks (20'), Lawal (50'), Quinn (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Binnie (76')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Celtic Reserves and Livingston Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic Reserves

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Last Game: Albion Rovers 2-3 Celtic Res.
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
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Livingston Under-21s

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Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 0-0 Livingston U21s (1-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic Reserves win with a probability of 75.87%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Livingston Under-21s had a probability of 9.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic Reserves win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 3-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Livingston Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic Reserves would win this match.

Result
Celtic ReservesDrawLivingston Under-21s
75.87% (0.563 0.56)14.26% (-0.282 -0.28)9.87% (-0.2771 -0.28)
Both teams to score 56.76% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.6% (0.59399999999999 0.59)28.4% (-0.592 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.77% (0.731 0.73)49.23% (-0.727 -0.73)
Celtic Reserves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.79% (0.23399999999999 0.23)6.21% (-0.2311 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.54% (0.642 0.64)23.46% (-0.639 -0.64)
Livingston Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)39.48% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)76.17% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Celtic Reserves 75.87%
    Livingston Under-21s 9.87%
    Draw 14.26%
Celtic ReservesDrawLivingston Under-21s
2-0 @ 9.47% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 8.77% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.15% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-0 @ 6.09% (0.109 0.11)
4-1 @ 5.66% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 3.39% (0.105 0.11)
5-1 @ 3.15% (0.092 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.63% (0.038 0.04)
6-0 @ 1.57% (0.069 0.07)
5-2 @ 1.46% (0.04 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.46% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 4.68%
Total : 75.87%
1-1 @ 6.33% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.45% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 14.26%
1-2 @ 2.94% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-1 @ 2.28% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.06% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 9.87%