Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
New Dundas Park

Bonnyrigg Rose
0 - 0
Livingston U21s

FT

Stenhouse (86'), Binnie (90')
Livingston U21s win 3-1 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and Livingston Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

Last Six:
Last Game: East Fife 0-3 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Livingston Under-21s

Last Six:
    Last Game: Livingston U21s 1-3 Formartine
    Tuesday, August 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 81.9%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Livingston Under-21s had a probability of 6.99%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 3-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.73%), while for a Livingston Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

    Result
    Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticDrawLivingston Under-21s
    81.9% (-0.172 -0.17)11.11% (0.074 0.07)6.99% (0.101 0.1)
    Both teams to score 57.02% (0.263 0.26)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    77.84% (0.031999999999996 0.03)22.16% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    58.89% (0.044000000000004 0.04)41.11% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
    Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    95.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)4.02% (0.019 0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    83.07% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)16.93% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
    Livingston Under-21s Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    59.4% (0.285 0.29)40.6% (-0.282 -0.28)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    22.8% (0.255 0.25)77.19% (-0.25099999999999 -0.25)
    Score Analysis
        Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 81.9%
        Livingston Under-21s 6.99%
        Draw 11.11%
    Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticDrawLivingston Under-21s
    3-0 @ 9.03% (-0.06 -0.06)
    2-0 @ 8.43% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
    3-1 @ 8.14% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
    2-1 @ 7.6% (0.02 0.02)
    4-0 @ 7.26% (-0.059 -0.06)
    4-1 @ 6.54% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
    1-0 @ 5.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
    5-0 @ 4.67% (-0.045 -0.04)
    5-1 @ 4.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
    3-2 @ 3.67% (0.032 0.03)
    4-2 @ 2.95% (0.022 0.02)
    6-0 @ 2.5% (-0.027 -0.03)
    6-1 @ 2.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
    5-2 @ 1.9% (0.011 0.01)
    7-0 @ 1.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
    7-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
    6-2 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
    Other @ 4.34%
    Total : 81.9%
    		1-1 @ 4.73% (0.019 0.02)
    2-2 @ 3.42% (0.035 0.04)
    0-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
    3-3 @ 1.1% (0.018 0.02)
    Other @ 0.23%
    Total : 11.11%
    		1-2 @ 2.13% (0.025 0.02)
    0-1 @ 1.47% (0.008 0.01)
    2-3 @ 1.03% (0.019 0.02)
    Other @ 2.36%
    Total : 6.99%