Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 41.8% ( | 25.21% ( | 32.99% |
| Both teams to score 56.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( | 47.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% ( | 69.48% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% ( | 22.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% ( | 56.1% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% ( | 27.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.19% ( | 62.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.99% |