Queen of the South
Scottish Challenge Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Palmerston Park
Kelty Hearts

QotS
0 - 0
Kelty Hearts

FT
QotS win 3-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Quarter-Finals clash between Queen of the South and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen of the South

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: QotS 1-2 Alloa
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Clyde 1-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 57.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 20.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Queen of the SouthDrawKelty Hearts
57.67% (0.0039999999999978 0)22.08% (0.0010000000000012 0)20.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.59% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)43.41% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.8% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)14.79% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.93% (0.0010000000000048 0)43.07% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.69% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)35.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.93% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)72.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Queen of the South 57.67%
    Kelty Hearts 20.25%
    Draw 22.08%
Queen of the SouthDrawKelty Hearts
1-0 @ 9.98% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.54% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 6.32%
3-0 @ 6.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 3.02%
4-0 @ 2.9%
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 57.67%
1-1 @ 10.39%
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.08%
0-1 @ 5.44%
1-2 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 20.25%

How you voted: QotS vs Kelty Hearts

Queen of the South
20.0%
Draw
80.0%
Kelty Hearts
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
QotS
1-2
Kelty Hearts
Paton (7')
Austin (80'), Higginbotham (84' pen.)
Logan (29')
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Kelty Hearts
1-0
QotS
Tidser (34')

Paton (44')