Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
57.15% ( -1) | 21.83% ( 0.24) | 21.02% ( 0.76) |
Both teams to score 57.2% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.78% ( -0.06) | 41.21% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.39% ( -0.06) | 63.61% ( 0.06) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.77% ( -0.33) | 14.22% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.03% ( -0.65) | 41.96% ( 0.65) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.69% ( 0.7) | 33.31% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.07% ( 0.76) | 69.92% ( -0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.1% Total : 57.15% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.82% | 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.27% Total : 21.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |