Scottish Championship Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sean Adarkwa 78' goal
  • goal George Oakley 28'

Arbroath vs Greenock Morton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 3, 2023 7.45pm
Hamilton 0 - 0 Arbroath
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Michael McKenna

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
Morton 0 - 0 Partick
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Robbie Muirhead

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Arbroath 41.69% (+1.17)
Draw 26.6% (-0.15)
Greenock Morton 31.71% (-1.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.32% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.53% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 53.47% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 25.01% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 74.99% (-0.26)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 74.67% (+0.76)
Under 0.5 25.33% (-0.76)
Over 1.5 39.89% (+1.03)
Under 1.5 60.11% (-1.03)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5 68.72% (-0.54)
Under 0.5 31.28% (+0.54)
Over 1.5 32.37% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 67.63% (+0.64)

Score analysis

Arbroath 41.68%
Draw 26.6%
Greenock Morton 31.71%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 10.87% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.68% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 7.47% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 3.98% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 3.42% (+0.18)
3-2 @ 2.31% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.37% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.17% (+0.09)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 41.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.92% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.6%
Greenock Morton
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.23)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.71%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 23
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • George Oakley 4' goal
  • goal Colin Hamilton 63'
  • goal Michael McKenna 77'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 17
Dec 3, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Gold 47' goal
  • goal Lewis McGrattan 45'+2'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Lewis McGrattan 90'+4' goal
  • goal Dale Hilson 12'
  • goal Michael McKenna 40'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jason Thomson 16' goal
  • James Craigen 78' goal
  • Michael McKenna 85' goal
Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Colin Hamilton 52'
  • yellowcard Liam Henderson 73'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 18
Dec 18, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Colin Hamilton 48' goal
  • Anton Dowds 80' goal
  • Colin Hamilton 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darren Hynes 62'
  • goal Gary Oliver 74'