Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
41.69% ( 1.17) | 26.6% ( -0.15) | 31.71% ( -1.02) |
Both teams to score 51.32% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.53% ( 0.31) | 53.47% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.01% ( 0.25) | 74.99% ( -0.25) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.67% ( 0.75) | 25.33% ( -0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.89% ( 1.02) | 60.11% ( -1.02) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.72% ( -0.53) | 31.28% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.37% ( -0.63) | 67.63% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.68% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |