Scottish Championship | Gameweek 24

Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
1 - 2
Raith Rovers

McKenna (20')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brown (70'), McBride (77')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Raith Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Morton 1-2 Arbroath
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-2 Inverness
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-0 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Raith Rovers
24.64% ( -0.06)	26.46% ( -0.04)	48.9% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 47.25% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.46% (

0.1)

56.54% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.47% (

0.08)

77.53% (

-0.08)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.5% (

38.5% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.75% (

75.24% (

-0)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.82% (

0.09)

23.18% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.93% (

0.13)

57.07% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 24.64%

Raith Rovers 48.89%

Draw 26.45%

Arbroath	Draw	Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 24.64%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 48.89%