Scottish Championship Gameweek 24
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michael McKenna 20' goal
  • goal Scott Brown 70'
  • goal Connor McBride 77'

Arbroath vs Raith Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
Morton 1 - 2 Arbroath
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Michael McKenna

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
Raith Rovers 2 - 2 Inverness
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Aidan Connolly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-0 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result

Arbroath 24.64% (-0.06)
Draw 26.46% (-0.04)
Raith Rovers 48.9% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.25% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.46% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 56.54% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 22.47% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 77.53% (-0.09)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 61.5% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 38.5% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 24.75% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 75.24% (-0.01)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 76.82% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 23.18% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 42.93% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 57.07% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Arbroath 24.64%
Draw 26.45%
Raith Rovers 48.89%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 5.94% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.07% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 24.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.92% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.34% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.45%
Raith Rovers
0-1 @ 13.04% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 9.54% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.1% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.65% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.44% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.12% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.7% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 48.89%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 18
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ricky Little 6' goal
  • goal Colin Hamilton 45'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 7
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Sam Stanton 41'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 31
Mar 26, 2022 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jack Hamilton 1' goal
  • Ricky Little 36' yellowcard
  • Thomas O'Brien 53' yellowcard
  • Colin Hamilton 61' yellowcard
  • Dale Hilson 67' goal
  • Michael McKenna 70' goal
  • Dale Hilson 75' yellowcard
  • goal Matej Poplatnik 31'
  • goal Aidan Connolly 48'
  • yellowcard Reghan Tumilty 60'
  • goal Ethan Varian 65'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 23
Jan 15, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Reghan Tumilty 42' goal
  • yellowcard Colin Hamilton 29'
  • goal Jack Hamilton 47'
  • yellowcard Liam Henderson 66'
  • goal Nicky Low 82'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Scott Stewart 35' yellowcard
  • Ricky Little 36' yellowcard
  • Colin Hamilton 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Michael McKenna 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Lang 38'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Dylan Tait 3' goal
  • Christophe Berra 32' yellowcard
  • Ethan Varian 35' yellowcard
  • Ross Matthews 45'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Colin Hamilton 44'
  • yellowcard Michael McKenna 49'
  • yellowcard Ricky Little 68'
  • goal Anton Dowds 90'+4'