Scottish Championship | Gameweek 35

Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
1 - 0
Raith Rovers

Musonda (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Raith Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Ayr 0-0 Queen's Park
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Morton 1-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Raith Rovers
56.24% ( 0.13)	23.27% ( -0.02)	20.49% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 51.62% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.77% (

-0.07)

48.23% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.62% (

-0.06)

70.38% (

0.06)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.04% (

0.02)

16.96% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.95% (

0.04)

47.05% (

-0.03)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.16% (

-0.15)

37.84% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.39% (

-0.15)

74.61% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 56.23%

Raith Rovers 20.49%

Draw 23.27%

Ayr United	Draw	Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 56.23%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.27%	0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.57% Total : 20.49%