Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
56.24% ( 0.13) | 23.27% ( -0.02) | 20.49% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 51.62% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.77% ( -0.07) | 48.23% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.62% ( -0.06) | 70.38% ( 0.06) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.04% ( 0.02) | 16.96% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.95% ( 0.04) | 47.05% ( -0.03) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.16% ( -0.15) | 37.84% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.39% ( -0.15) | 74.61% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 56.23% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.27% | 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.57% Total : 20.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |