Scottish Championship | Gameweek 28

Apr 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stark's Park

Raith Rovers
1 - 2
Hamilton

Lawson (50' og.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

McGowan (62'), Ashley-Seal (64')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Raith Rovers and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-0 Queen's Park
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Dundee 7-0 Hamilton
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 56.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Hamilton Academical
56.86% ( 7.13)	22.21% ( -2.07)	20.92% ( -5.06)

Both teams to score 55.74% (

0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.91% (

3.8)

43.08% (

-3.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.51% (

3.65)

65.48% (

-3.65)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.05% (

3.95)

14.95% (

-3.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.64% (

7.02)

43.35% (

-7.03)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.53% (

-2.37)

34.46% (

2.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.82% (

-2.6)

71.17% (

2.6)

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 56.86%

Hamilton Academical 20.92%

Draw 22.2%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Hamilton Academical
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.89) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.97) 3-0 @ 5.9% ( 1.22) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.77) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.85) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.33) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.4) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.42) Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.86%	1-1 @ 10.42% ( -1.06) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.92) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.2%	1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.97) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -1.41) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.99) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.5) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.45) Other @ 2.07% Total : 20.92%