Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.