Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 89.32%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 3.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.24%) and 2-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.47%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.