NIFL Premiership Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Robert Garrett 38' redcard
  • goal Lee Bonis 47'
  • goal Lee Bonis 48'
  • goal Lee Bonis 56'
  • goal Dylan Sloan 65'

Glenavon vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
Crusaders 2 - 0 Glenavon
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Aaron Prendergast

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Loughgall 1 - 0 Larne
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Andy Ryan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result

Glenavon 22.79% (+0.06)
Draw 25.16% (+0.01)
Larne 52.05% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.99% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.73% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 53.27% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 25.17% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 74.82% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 11.47% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.53% (-0.01)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5 61.6% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 38.4% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 24.85% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 75.15% (-0.07)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 79.53% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 20.47% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 47.06% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.93% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Glenavon 22.79%
Draw 25.16%
Larne 52.04%
Glenavon
1-0 @ 7.52% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.71% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.6% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.82% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 22.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.16%
Larne
0-1 @ 12.46% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.89% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.23% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.07% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 52.04%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 10, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Inver Park
  • Leroy Millar 14' goal
  • Leroy Millar 41' goal
  • Lee Bonis 74' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 18
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • goal Sean Ward 80' (OG)
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Mourneview Park
  • Peter Campbell 30' yellowcard
  • Michael Glynn 40' goal
  • Calum Birney 64' redcard
  • Jack Malone 77' redcard
  • 82' yellowcard
  • goal Paul O'Neill 33'
  • goal Ben Doherty 90'+7'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 30
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lee Bonis 3' goal
  • goal Matt Fitzpatrick 90'+4'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 13
Nov 13, 2021 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Ben Doherty 2' goal
  • Jeff Hughes 15' goal
  • David McDaid 35' goal
  • Mark Randall 47' yellowcard
  • goal Peter Campbell 21'
  • goal Danny Wallace 65'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Calum Birney 41' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Connor 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Cosgrove 33'
  • goal Andy Mitchell 79'
  • yellowcard Mark Randall 90'+3'