Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 22.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.