Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
1 - 1
Crusaders

Ives (63')
Donnelly (35'), Want (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kennedy (80')
Anderson (45'), Heatley (51')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Glenavon 0-4 Larne
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Coleraine 0-4 Crusaders
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
LarneDrawCrusaders
56.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.61%21.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 55.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.7% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)44.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (0.0049999999999955 0)66.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36% (0.0040000000000049 0)15.64% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.34% (0.0039999999999978 0)44.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.27% (0.0019999999999953 0)34.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.46%
Score Analysis
    Larne 56.02%
    Crusaders 21.36%
    Draw 22.6%
LarneDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 9.35%
3-1 @ 6.11%
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.5%
5-1 @ 1.05%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 56.02%
1-1 @ 10.65%
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.6%
0-1 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.64%
0-2 @ 3.04%
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 21.36%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crusaders
0-2
Larne
Ryan (12'), Bonis (62')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Larne
0-0
Crusaders
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Larne
4-1
Crusaders
Bonis (9', 35'), Millar (14'), O'Neill (19')
Lowry (90+2')
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Crusaders
1-1
Larne
Lowry (65')
(45+1'), Joe Burns (51'), Forsythe (57')
Millar (80')
Cosgrove (39'), Randall (57'), Bonis (90+3')
Randall (59')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Crusaders
1-2
Larne
Wilson (89')
McDaid (59', 72')