Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 17
Nov 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
2 - 0
Coleraine

Thomson (12'), Millar (89')
Bolger (1'), O'Neill (36'), Orozco (46')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McKendry (84'), Carson (90+1'), Farren (90+1')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Coleraine.

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Linfield 1-2 Larne
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Coleraine

All competitions
Last Game: Coleraine 0-0 Glentoran
Monday, November 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 18.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Coleraine win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawColeraine
60.7% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)21.29% (0.412 0.41)18.01% (0.327 0.33)
Both teams to score 53.75% (-0.752 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.72% (-1.311 -1.31)43.28% (1.316 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.32% (-1.307 -1.31)65.68% (1.311 1.31)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.2% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)13.8% (0.64 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.87% (-1.277 -1.28)41.13% (1.281 1.28)
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.36% (-0.407 -0.41)37.64% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58% (-0.399 -0.4)74.42% (0.405 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Larne 60.69%
    Coleraine 18.01%
    Draw 21.29%
LarneDrawColeraine
1-0 @ 10.28% (0.343 0.34)
2-0 @ 10.18% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.73% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.57% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-0 @ 3.33% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.096 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 60.69%
1-1 @ 10.05% (0.232 0.23)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.295 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.29%
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.234 0.23)
1-2 @ 4.91% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 18.01%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Coleraine
0-0
Larne
McDaid (26'), O'Mahony (56'), McCrudden (90+5')
Ives (86'), Glynn (90+4')
Ives (90+4')
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Coleraine
3-0
Larne
Shevlin (51', 63'), Glackin (90+1')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Coleraine
0-0
Larne
Nov 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Larne
0-2
Coleraine
Shevlin (4'), McKendry (45+2')
Oct 1, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Larne
2-0
Coleraine
Millar (7'), O'Neill (82')
rhs 2.0


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