NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Coleraine
4 - 1
Glenavon

Carson (44'), McKendry (73', 90+4'), Shevlin (88')
Scott (16'), McKendry (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Malone (6')
Kerr (46'), Campbell (58'), Ward (87')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Coleraine and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coleraine

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 0-4 Crusaders
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Glenavon

All competitions
Last Game: Glenavon 0-4 Larne
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.

Result
ColeraineDrawGlenavon
48.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.64% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)27.78% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 58.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.7% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.89% (0.0019999999999953 0)65.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.74% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.42% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (0.00099999999999056 0)28.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.33% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Coleraine 48.58%
    Glenavon 27.78%
    Draw 23.63%
ColeraineDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 48.58%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-1 @ 6.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 27.78%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Glenavon
2-1
Coleraine
Fitzpatrick (69'), O'Connor (84')
Scott (26')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Glenavon
0-0
Coleraine
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Coleraine
1-3
Glenavon
Shevlin (41' pen.)
(79')
Campbell (24'), Garrett (48'), Fitzpatrick (63')
Brown (39'), (53'), (70'), Haughey (90+1')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Coleraine
2-3
Glenavon
McLaughlin (76'), Allen (83' pen.)
Brown (62'), Mullan (87'), Wilson (90+2')
Mullan (90+1')
Campbell (16'), Fitzpatrick (52'), O'Mahony (69')
Birney (59')
Taylor (76')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Glenavon
1-0
Coleraine
Snoddy (82')
Snoddy (60'), Doyle (66')

McKendry (36')