Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.