Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 55.82%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 22.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.8%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.