NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
The Showgrounds
Larne

Newry City AFC
1 - 2
Larne

Salley (56')
Martin (6'), Bagnall (37'), McKeown (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thomson (79', 85')
Orozco (56'), Bonis (80'), Cosgrove (84'), Ives (90')
Paul (72'), Paul (73')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newry City AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Loughgall 3-1 Newry City AFC
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Larne 2-0 Carrick
Friday, October 20 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 80.27%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 6.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.42%) and 0-1 (11.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Newry City AFCDrawLarne
6.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.69%80.27% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 38.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)40.96% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)63.36% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.07% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)57.93% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)89.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)8.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.42% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Newry City AFC 6.04%
    Larne 80.26%
    Draw 13.69%
Newry City AFCDrawLarne
1-0 @ 2.56%
2-1 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 6.04%
1-1 @ 6.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 13.69%
0-2 @ 14.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 12.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-4 @ 7.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 4.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 3.93%
1-5 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
0-6 @ 1.65%
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 80.26%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Larne
4-0
Newry City AFC
O'Neill (4'), Ives (41', 76'), Glynn (43')
Donnelly (7'), Orozco (15')

O'Connor (7'), Forde (64'), Healy (66')
Jan 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Newry City AFC
0-0
Larne
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Larne
2-0
Newry City AFC
Sule (12'), Cosgrove (49')
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Newry City AFC
0-2
Larne
Millar (60'), Randall (62')