Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.