Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cliftonville in this match.