Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 86.26%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 3.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.33%) and 4-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.67%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.