Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.