NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
1 - 1
Glentoran

Lowry (45+2')
Robinson (14'), Clarke (39'), Larmour (71'), Joe Burns (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Donnelly (35')
Ogedi-Uzokwe (41'), McCarey (45+4'), Wilson (49'), Kane (58'), Kelly (81'), Burns (90+3')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Glentoran.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dungannon 1-4 Crusaders
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 3-1 Glenavon
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
CrusadersDrawGlentoran
43.5% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)26.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)29.61% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.54% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)55.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)76.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77%25.23% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.98% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25% (0.012 0.01)33.74% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.59% (0.014000000000003 0.01)70.4% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 43.5%
    Glentoran 29.61%
    Draw 26.88%
CrusadersDrawGlentoran
1-0 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43.5%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 9.25%
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 29.61%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Glentoran
2-2
Crusaders
Donnelly (21'), McCartan (67' pen.)
Burns (24')
Burns (71')
Larmour (16'), Owens (88')
Lecky (66'), Forsythe (67')
Forsythe (89'), Forsythe (90')
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Crusaders
1-2
Glentoran
Boyd (89')
Ogedi-Uzokwe (45+5'), Devlin (58')
Jan 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Glentoran
2-0
Crusaders
McCartan (47', 53')
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crusaders
3-2
Glentoran
Lecky (4'), Hegarty (24', 58')
Purkis (5'), Donnelly (51')
Aug 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Glentoran
3-1
Crusaders
Donnelly (8'), McMenamin (52' pen.), Wilson (78')
Crowe (33')
Clarke (5')
Forsythe (43'), Robinson (85')