NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12

Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Seaview

Crusaders
1 - 0
Ballymena

Lecky (45')
Anderson (61'), Robinson (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McCullough (76')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions

Last Game: Larne 1-1 Crusaders
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Ballymena United

All competitions

Last Game: Ballymena 0-2 Newry City AFC
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 11.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Ballymena United
69.07% ( -0.65)	19.17% ( 0.37)	11.75% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 45.04% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.25% (

-0.89)

46.75% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.98% (

-0.84)

69.01% (

0.84)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.58% (

-0.44)

12.42% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.67% (

-0.93)

38.33% (

0.93)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.43% (

-0.08)

48.56% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.36% (

-0.06)

83.64% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 69.07%

Ballymena United 11.75%

Draw 19.17%

Crusaders	Draw	Ballymena United
2-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.95% Total : 69.07%	1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 19.17%	0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.54% Total : 11.75%