NIFL Premiership Gameweek 12
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Seaview
  • Adam Lecky 45' goal
  • Lloyd Anderson 61' yellowcard
  • Josh Robinson 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steven McCullough 76'

Crusaders vs Ballymena United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Oct 6, 2023 7.45pm
Larne 1 - 1 Crusaders
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Ben Kennedy

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Ballymena 0 - 2 Newry City AFC
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Noah Stewart

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 11.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result

Crusaders 69.07% (-0.65)
Draw 19.17% (+0.37)
Ballymena United 11.75% (+0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.04% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.25% (-0.90)
Under 2.5 46.75% (+0.90)
Over 3.5 30.98% (-0.85)
Under 3.5 69.01% (+0.85)
Over 4.5 15.36% (-0.60)
Under 4.5 84.64% (+0.60)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 87.58% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 12.42% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 61.67% (-0.93)
Under 1.5 38.33% (+0.93)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 51.43% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 48.56% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 16.36% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 83.64% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Crusaders 69.07%
Draw 19.17%
Ballymena United 11.75%
Crusaders
2-0 @ 13.12% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 12.58% (+0.26)
2-1 @ 9.48% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.12% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.11)
4-0 @ 4.76% (-0.15)
4-1 @ 3.44% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.10)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 69.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.09% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 6.03% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 19.17%
Ballymena United
0-1 @ 4.36% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 3.28% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.57% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 11.75%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT The Showgrounds
  • John McGuigan 31' yellowcard
  • Colin Coates 60' redcard
  • Scot Whiteside 79' yellowcard
  • Ryan Strain 90'+7' goal
  • goal Adam Lecky 16'
  • goal Jarlath O'Rourke 29'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 30
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 14, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • goal Kym Nelson 80'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Seaview
  • Philip Lowry 29' goal
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 33' goal
  • Jordan Forsythe 82' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Philip Lowry 9' goal
  • Jordan Forsythe 36' yellowcard
  • Jonathan McMurray 65' goal
  • goal Ryan Strain 52'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jude Winchester 43' yellowcard
  • Jude Winchester 58' goal
  • Paul McElroy 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Larmour 20'
  • yellowcard 88'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'