NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Glentoran
6 - 0
Loughgall

Donnelly (10', 41'), Ogedi-Uzokwe (15'), O'Connor (37'), Fisher (67' pen.), McClean (80')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Murdock (20'), Ferris (81')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glentoran and Loughgall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Glentoran
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 3-4 Carrick
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 23.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Loughgall win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.

Result
GlentoranDrawLoughgall
50.39% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)25.66%23.95% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.84% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.88% (0.048000000000002 0.05)54.13% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (0.038999999999998 0.04)75.54% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)21.51% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.44% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)54.56% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22% (0.077000000000005 0.08)37.78% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (0.073 0.07)74.56% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Glentoran 50.38%
    Loughgall 23.95%
    Draw 25.65%
GlentoranDrawLoughgall
1-0 @ 12.48% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 4.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78%
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 50.38%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.92% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 23.95%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Loughgall
0-1
Glentoran

Rea (57'), Kelly (83'), Murdock (85'), Loughran (90+8'), Brogan (90+4')
O'Connor (19')
Sule (27'), McCartan (45+2')