NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 13

Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Oval

Glentoran
3 - 1
Glenavon

Ogedi-Uzokwe (3', 13'), McClean (45')
Singleton (17'), Wilson (40'), Donnelly (63')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Malone (90+1')
Brown (14'), Wallace (53')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glentoran and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glentoran

All competitions

Last Game: Glentoran 6-0 Loughgall
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Glenavon

All competitions

Last Game: Glenavon 0-1 Cliftonville
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 75.21%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 8.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 3-0 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.

Result
Glentoran	Draw	Glenavon
75.21% ( 0.23)	15.79% ( -0.13)	8.99% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 46.26% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.49% (

0.33)

39.51% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.15% (

0.34)

61.85% (

-0.34)

Glentoran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.1% (

0.13)

8.9% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.58% (

0.32)

30.42% (

-0.32)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.77% (

0.02)

49.22% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.89% (

0.01)

84.11% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Glentoran 75.19%

Glenavon 8.99%

Draw 15.79%

Glentoran	Draw	Glenavon
2-0 @ 12.81% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.81% Total : 75.19%	1-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 15.79%	0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.13% Total : 8.99%