NIFL Premiership Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Lakeview Park
  • Caolan Loughran 61' yellowcard
  • Pablo Cavalcante 73' goal
  • yellowcard Mal Smith 13'
  • goal Ross Clarke 62'
  • goal Paul Heatley 90'+3'

Loughgall vs Crusaders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Loughgall

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
Loughgall 5 - 2 Ballymena
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Benjamin Magee

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
Crusaders 0 - 2 Coleraine
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Ben Kennedy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 54.54%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 23.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crusaders in this match.

Result

Loughgall 23.34% (-0.31)
Draw 22.12% (-0.05)
Crusaders 54.54% (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.47% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.27% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 39.73% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 37.92% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 62.08% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 20.49% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 79.51% (+0.11)

Loughgall Goals

Over 0.5 69.6% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 30.4% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 33.4% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 66.6% (+0.39)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 85.45% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 14.55% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 57.4% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 42.6% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Loughgall 23.34%
Draw 22.12%
Crusaders 54.54%
Loughgall
2-1 @ 6.04% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 5.27% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.14% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.4% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.25% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 23.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.42% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.12%
Crusaders
1-2 @ 9.79% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.53% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 8.22% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 6.29% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.28% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 3.74% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.03% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.54% (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.8% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 54.54%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • Jude Winchester 8' yellowcard
  • Paul Heatley 75' goal
  • yellowcard Oran Brogan 17'
  • yellowcard Andrew Hoey 70'
  • redcard Aaron Duke 76'
  • goal Benjamin Magee 85'