NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
5 - 1
Loughgall

Cooper (10'), Clarke (55'), McKee (57', 88'), McBrien (71')
Cooper (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cavalcante (45+3')
Cavalcante (45+3'), Hoey (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Loughgall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions
Last Game: Cliftonville 0-1 Linfield
Friday, October 20 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Loughgall

All competitions
Last Game: Loughgall 3-1 Newry City AFC
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 74.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 9.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 3-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Loughgall win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawLoughgall
74.13% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)16.46% (0.010999999999999 0.01)9.41% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.68% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)41.32% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)63.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.4% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)9.61% (0.011100000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.89% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)32.11% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)84.35%
Score Analysis
    Linfield 74.13%
    Loughgall 9.41%
    Draw 16.46%
LinfieldDrawLoughgall
2-0 @ 13.06%
1-0 @ 11.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 7.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-0 @ 2.8% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52%
5-1 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 74.13%
1-1 @ 7.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 16.46%
0-1 @ 3.34% (0.004 0)
1-2 @ 2.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 9.41%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Loughgall
0-2
Linfield

Kelly (13'), McAleer (90+1')
Scott (43', 69')