Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 74.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 9.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 3-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Loughgall win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.