NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 18
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Solitude

Cliftonville
3 - 0
Crusaders

Gormley (35'), Hale (68'), Wilson (87')
Casey (13'), Hale (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Clarke (13'), Heatley (13'), Lecky (81'), Robinson (90')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Cliftonville and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cliftonville

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 0-3 Cliftonville
Sunday, November 19 at 2pm in NIFL Premiership

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Loughgall 1-2 Crusaders
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.

Result
CliftonvilleDrawCrusaders
38.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.04% (0.0019999999999989 0)35.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.04% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)50.39% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.67% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)72.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.75% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)27.21% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.37% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)62.63% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cliftonville 38.26%
    Crusaders 35.7%
    Draw 26.04%
CliftonvilleDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 6.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 38.26%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 9.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.7%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Crusaders
0-3
Cliftonville

Smith (25'), Forsythe (36'), Joe Burns (53')
Gallagher (18'), Hale (43'), Wilson (55')
Lowe (41'), Ashford (53'), Casey (64')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Cliftonville
3-3
Crusaders
Hale (48'), Hale (50'), Gormley (58')
Heatley (1', 90+2'), O'Rourke (51')
Mar 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Crusaders
2-2
Cliftonville
Forsythe (26'), Clarke (80')
Curran (35', 71')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Crusaders
3-0
Cliftonville
Turner (15'), Heatley (36'), Owens (86')
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Cliftonville
0-0
Crusaders