Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 74.89%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 9.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-2 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.