NIFL Premiership Gameweek 21
Dec 15, 2023 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • Daniel Larmour 6' yellowcard
  • Billy Joe Burns 63' yellowcard
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 67' yellowcard
  • Billy Joe Burns 68' redcard
  • goal Andy Ryan 47'
  • goal Lee Bonis 53'
  • goal Andy Ryan 68'

Crusaders vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Dec 8, 2023 7.45pm
Carrick 0 - 1 Crusaders
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Ben Kennedy

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Dec 8, 2023 7.45pm
Larne 4 - 1 Glenavon
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Andy Ryan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result

Crusaders 28.54% (-0.05)
Draw 26.7% (-0.04)
Larne 44.75% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.49% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.9% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 55.1% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 23.65% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 76.35% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 10.51% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 89.49% (-0.07)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 65.56% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 34.44% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 28.85% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 71.15% (-0.03)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 75.49% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 24.51% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 41.03% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 58.97% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Crusaders 28.54%
Draw 26.7%
Larne 44.75%
Crusaders
1-0 @ 9% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.8% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.4%
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 28.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.74% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.7%
Larne
0-1 @ 11.86% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.9% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.35% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.17% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.91% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.47% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 44.75%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
  • Aaron Donnelly 35' yellowcard
  • Shaun Want 47' yellowcard
  • Levi Ives 63' goal
  • yellowcard Lloyd Anderson 45'
  • yellowcard Paul Heatley 51'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 80'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Apr 14, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Seaview
  • goal Andy Ryan 12'
  • goal Lee Bonis 62'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 24
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Inver Park
  • Lee Bonis 9' goal
  • Leroy Millar 14' goal
  • Paul O'Neill 19' goal
  • Lee Bonis 35' goal
  • goal Philip Lowry 90'+2'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Billy Joe Burns 51' yellowcard
  • Jordan Forsythe 57' yellowcard
  • Philip Lowry 65' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Cosgrove 39'
  • yellowcard Mark Randall 57'
  • redcard Mark Randall 59'
  • goal Leroy Millar 80'
  • yellowcard Lee Bonis 90'+3'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • Aidan Wilson 89' goal
  • goal David McDaid 59'
  • goal David McDaid 72'