MX23RW : Friday, February 23 06:15:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 20
Dec 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park
Larne
4 - 1
Glenavon
Millar (9'), Bonis (54'), Ryan (56'), O'Neill (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Prendergast (87')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ballymena 0-0 Larne
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-1 Coleraine
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawGlenavon
61.5% (0.953 0.95) 20.53% (-0.324 -0.32) 17.97% (-0.632 -0.63)
Both teams to score 56.32% (-0.1 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.15% (0.447 0.45)39.85% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.79% (0.462 0.46)62.21% (-0.465 -0.46)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51% (0.41300000000001 0.41)12.49% (-0.415 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.53% (0.855 0.86)38.46% (-0.857 -0.86)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.36% (-0.42 -0.42)35.64% (0.419 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.59% (-0.438 -0.44)72.41% (0.43600000000001 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Larne 61.5%
    Glenavon 17.97%
    Draw 20.53%
LarneDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.63% (0.104 0.1)
1-0 @ 9.26% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.68% (0.176 0.18)
4-1 @ 3.59% (0.11 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.47% (0.144 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.036 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.069 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 61.5%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.53%
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 17.97%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Glenavon
0-4
Larne

Garrett (38')
Bonis (47', 48', 56'), Sloan (65')
Feb 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Larne
3-0
Glenavon
Millar (14', 41'), Bonis (74')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Glenavon
0-1
Larne
Ward (80' og.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Glenavon
1-2
Larne
Glynn (40')
Campbell (30'), (82')
Birney (64'), Malone (77')
O'Neill (33'), Doherty (90+7' pen.)
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Larne
1-1
Glenavon
Bonis (3')
Fitzpatrick (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LarneLarne29217158164270
2LinfieldLinfield30223565333269
3CliftonvilleCliftonville30214569234667
4GlentoranGlentoran28147761313049
5CrusadersCrusaders291361047331445
6ColeraineColeraine29105143755-1835
7Carrick RangersCarrick29104153658-2234
8Loughgall2995154052-1232
9GlenavonGlenavon2893163450-1630
10Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2977154858-1028
11Ballymena UnitedBallymena2954201851-3319
12Newry City AFC2935212174-5314

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