Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 18
Nov 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
2 - 1
Glentoran

Ryan (10'), Millar (52')
Orozco (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fisher (69')
Palmer (8'), Kelly (12'), McCarey (54')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Glentoran.

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Larne 2-0 Coleraine
Friday, November 17 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership

Glentoran

All competitions
Last Game: Glentoran 5-0 Ballymena
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Glentoran had a probability of 24.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Glentoran win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawGlentoran
50.14% (0.013000000000005 0.01)25.75% (-0.004999999999999 -0)24.11% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 48.73% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.65% (0.018999999999998 0.02)54.35% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.27% (0.016000000000002 0.02)75.73% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (0.013999999999996 0.01)21.71% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (0.020000000000003 0.02)54.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.24% (0.0049999999999955 0)37.76% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.46% (0.0039999999999978 0)74.54% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Larne 50.14%
    Glentoran 24.11%
    Draw 25.75%
LarneDrawGlentoran
1-0 @ 12.52%
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 4.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 50.14%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 8.2% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.47%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 24.11%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Glentoran
1-2
Larne
Burns (80')
Sule (32'), McCarey (32'), McCartan (68'), Donnelly (90+3'), Singleton (90+3'), Jenkins (90+10')
Glynn (49'), Ryan (62')
Glynn (35'), Want (57'), Thomson (90+1'), Ferguson (90+1'), Gordon (90+5'), Ives (90+10')
Apr 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Larne
2-0
Glentoran
Glynn (15'), Bonis (20')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Glentoran
0-1
Larne
Bonis (63')
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Glentoran
4-0
Larne
McMenamin (10', 83'), Donnelly (59'), Purkis (67')
Aug 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Larne
0-0
Glentoran
O'Neill (15'), Donnelly (39'), Randall (41'), Kearns (84')
Crowe (67'), Donnelly (87')