Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.