NIFL Premiership Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Fraser Taylor 72' yellowcard
  • goal Conor McCloskey 37'

Ballymena United vs Glenavon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
Loughgall 5 - 2 Ballymena
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Noah Stewart

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
Glenavon 1 - 0 Dungannon
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Aaron Prendergast

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Ballymena United 38.18% (-0.12)
Draw 24.4% (+0.03)
Glenavon 37.42% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.98% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.2% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 42.8% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 34.8% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 65.21% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 18.12% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 81.89% (+0.08)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 77.64% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 22.36% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 44.15% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 55.86% (+0.17)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5 77.25% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.75%
Over 1.5 43.57% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.43% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Ballymena United 38.18%
Draw 24.4%
Glenavon 37.42%
Ballymena United
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.62% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 38.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.09% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.4%
Glenavon
1-2 @ 8.35% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.53% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.58% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.12% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 37.42%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Calum Birney 4' goal
  • Danny Wallace 21' yellowcard
  • Jamie McDonagh 62' yellowcard
  • Aaron Rogers 66' yellowcard
  • Peter Campbell 69' yellowcard
  • Conor McCloskey 72' yellowcard
  • Aaron Rogers 80' redcard
  • yellowcard Donal Rocks 36'
  • yellowcard Mikey Place 45'+3'
  • redcard Mikey Place 51'
  • yellowcard Jonathan McMurray 79'
  • yellowcard Scot Whiteside 83'
  • yellowcard John McGuigan 86'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 2
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 20' goal
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 48' goal
  • Jack Malone 74' goal
  • goal Mikey Place 53'
  • goal Craig Farquhar 90'+3'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 33
Apr 3, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • goal Matt Fitzpatrick 18'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Mourneview Park
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 50' goal
  • Danny Wallace 58' goal
  • Jack Malone 67' goal
  • goal Jordan Gibson 23'
  • goal Conor Keeley 61'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Paul McElroy 4' goal
  • Steven McCullough 10' yellowcard
  • Jordan Gibson 32' goal
  • Ross Redman 33' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Calum Birney 31'
  • goal Peter Campbell 45'+1'
  • redcard Eoin Bradley 55'
  • redcard Andrew Doyle 60'
  • goal Aaron Prendergast 90'+4'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mourneview Park
  • Matthew Snoddy 24' yellowcard
  • Calum Birney 28' yellowcard
  • Calum Birney 44' goal
  • Danny Wallace 55' redcard
  • Peter Campbell 73' goal
  • Peter Campbell 75' goal
  • Joshua Clarke 88' yellowcard
  • Robert Garrett 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Kym Nelson 25'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kelly 40'
  • yellowcard Leroy Millar 43'
  • yellowcard Ross Redman 65'
  • yellowcard Kym Nelson 70'
  • redcard Leroy Millar 90'+2'