Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.