NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
1 - 1
Dungannon

Westendorf (25')
O'Neill (23'), Boyle (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tennant (51' og.)
Scott (31'), Knowles (81')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ballymena 3-1 Coleraine
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 1-4 Crusaders
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawDungannon Swifts
45.81% (-0.073 -0.07)24.89% (0.042999999999999 0.04)29.31% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.63% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (-0.177 -0.18)47.33% (0.174 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (-0.165 -0.16)69.55% (0.161 0.16)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.107 -0.11)20.71% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (-0.165 -0.16)53.32% (0.162 0.16)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)29.83% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)65.91% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 45.81%
    Dungannon Swifts 29.31%
    Draw 24.88%
Ballymena UnitedDrawDungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.66% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 45.81%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.04 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.31%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Dungannon
0-1
Ballymena

Bigirimana (50'), McGee (78')
Stewart (87')
Coates (78'), Whiteside (83')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Ballymena
2-0
Dungannon
Gibson (87'), Nelson (90+4')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Ballymena
2-0
Dungannon
McGrory (52' pen.), McDaid (90+5')
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Dungannon
1-1
Ballymena
O'Connor (29')
McDaid (36')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Dungannon
0-2
Ballymena
Kelly (51'), Keeley (88')
Tweed (14')