Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 2-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.