Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 78.62%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 7.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.74%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Loughgall win it was 0-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.